Match context

The upcoming match between New Mexico United and FC Tulsa is scheduled for 16.08.2026 01:30 in USL Championship. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
New Mexico United are in position 3 with 30 points after 15 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 20 scored and 15 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWWW. FC Tulsa are in position 4 with 29 points after 17 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 20 scored and 16 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWWDW.

Recent results

New Mexico United recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWWWDWDWD. The averages are 2.30 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. FC Tulsa recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWDWLLWLL. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 9 head-to-head matches, New Mexico United recorded 3 wins, there were 2 draws, and FC Tulsa recorded 4 wins. The average total was 3.44 goals per match. Both teams scored in 77.8% of those matches, while 77.8% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 1.5 goals — 40%; Both teams to score — 30%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

An earlier confirmed reversal signal with Pinnacle supported FC Tulsa through Away +0.25. The newer normalized movement for New Mexico United -0.25 / FC Tulsa +0.25 supports FC Tulsa by an average 1.83 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. The directions conflict, so the Asian signal is not used as a standalone selection.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Under 2.5 (odds 2).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for New Mexico United at home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 3.29 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 3.29 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 85.7%, 71.4%, 28.6% and 28.6% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 11 of 16 completed matches (68.8% coverage). The discipline profile for FC Tulsa away from home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 2.40 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.40 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 60.0%, 40.0%, 20.0% and 20.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 12 of 18 completed matches (66.7% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between New Mexico United and FC Tulsa ended 1-0. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 9 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.44 goals, while this match produced 1. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 9 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 77.8%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 9 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 77.8%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Under 2.5 at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Under 2.5. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.