Match context

The upcoming match between Charleston Battery and Miami FC is scheduled for 22.08.2026 23:30 in USL Championship. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Charleston Battery are in position 2 with 33 points after 18 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 37 scored and 24 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWLDL. Miami FC are in position 7 with 22 points after 19 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 31 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDLLW.

Recent results

Charleston Battery recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWLDDLWWW. The averages are 2.50 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Miami FC recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLDLLWWDL. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Charleston Battery recorded 3 wins, there were 2 draws, and Miami FC recorded 5 wins. The average total was 2.50 goals per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Charleston Battery to win with 63% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 62.56%, 20.16% and 17.28%. The model momentum difference is 45.28 points in favour of Charleston Battery. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.45 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -9.29%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Charleston Battery -0.25 / Miami FC +0.25 supports Miami FC by an average 1.91 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 5 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Charleston Battery at home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 3.00 yellow cards, 0.17 red cards and 3.17 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 83.3%, 66.7%, 33.3% and 33.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 16.7%. Season card data is available for 14 of 17 completed matches (82.4% coverage). The discipline profile for Miami FC away from home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 4.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 4.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 83.3%, 83.3%, 66.7% and 50.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 14 of 18 completed matches (77.8% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Charleston Battery and Miami FC ended 5-0. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.5 goals, while this match produced 5. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Miami FC at +0.25. The stored market movement was 1.91 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 5-0, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.