Match context

The upcoming match between Orange County SC and FC Tulsa is scheduled for 23.08.2026 02:00 in USL Championship. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Orange County SC are in position 1 with 34 points after 18 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 29 scored and 19 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWWDD. FC Tulsa are in position 4 with 29 points after 17 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 20 scored and 16 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWWDW.

Recent results

Orange County SC recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWWLDDWWD. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. FC Tulsa recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWWDWLLWL. The averages are 0.80 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC recorded 7 wins, there were 1 draws, and FC Tulsa recorded 2 wins. The average total was 3.10 goals per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 1.5 goals — 50%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 40%; Over 2.5 goals — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Orange County SC -1 / FC Tulsa +1 supports FC Tulsa by an average 1.92 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 17 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Orange County SC at home is based on 2 matches. The team averages 2.50 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.50 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 50.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 9 of 20 completed matches (45.0% coverage). The discipline profile for FC Tulsa away from home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 2.40 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.40 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 60.0%, 40.0%, 20.0% and 20.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 12 of 19 completed matches (63.2% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Orange County SC and FC Tulsa ended 1-5. The game produced 6 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.1 goals, while this match produced 6. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Orange County SC at home was based on 2 matches, with averages of 2.5 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.5 total cards per match. In this game, Orange County SC received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.5 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for FC Tulsa away from home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 2.4 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.4 total cards per match. In this game, FC Tulsa received 5 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 5 in total. That was 2.6 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 40% of matches, 5+ in 20%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported FC Tulsa at +1. The stored market movement was 1.92 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-5, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 1 aligned with the final result and 7 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.