Match context

The upcoming match between Sacramento Republic and Phoenix Rising is scheduled for 23.08.2026 03:00 in USL Championship. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Sacramento Republic are in position 7 with 27 points after 17 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 16 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLWWD. Phoenix Rising are in position 11 with 22 points after 18 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 25 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDDWL.

Recent results

Sacramento Republic recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDLWWDLWLW. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 0.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals. Phoenix Rising recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLDDWLLLDL. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic recorded 3 wins, there were 3 draws, and Phoenix Rising recorded 4 wins. The average total was 2.70 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 1.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Sacramento Republic -0.25 / Phoenix Rising +0.25 supports Sacramento Republic by an average 3.11 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 13 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Sacramento Republic at home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 60.0%, 40.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 11 of 18 completed matches (61.1% coverage). The discipline profile for Phoenix Rising away from home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 2.20 yellow cards, 0.20 red cards and 2.40 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 40.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 20.0%. Season card data is available for 11 of 19 completed matches (57.9% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Sacramento Republic and Phoenix Rising ended 2-2. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 3 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.7 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Sacramento Republic at home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, Sacramento Republic received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 40% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Phoenix Rising away from home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 2.2 yellow cards, 0.2 red cards and 2.4 total cards per match. In this game, Phoenix Rising received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.4 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 40% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 20%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Sacramento Republic at -0.25. The stored market movement was 3.11 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-2, the line settled as a half loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 5 verifiable pre-match indicators, 0 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.