Match context

The upcoming match between Indy Eleven and Birmingham Legion is scheduled for 05.09.2026 23:00 in USL Championship. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Indy Eleven are in position 6 with 28 points after 16 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 19 scored and 20 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWWDL. Birmingham Legion are in position 11 with 17 points after 17 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 18 scored and 21 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLWL.

Recent results

Indy Eleven recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWDLLLLWD. The averages are 0.80 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals. Birmingham Legion recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLWLWDLDD. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 90% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Indy Eleven recorded 6 wins, there were 2 draws, and Birmingham Legion recorded 2 wins. The average total was 3.40 goals per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Both teams to score — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Indy Eleven 0 / Birmingham Legion 0 supports Birmingham Legion by an average 1.73 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 24 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Indy Eleven at home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 2.17 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.17 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 83.3%, 33.3%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 12 of 17 completed matches (70.6% coverage). The discipline profile for Birmingham Legion away from home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 2.80 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.80 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 80.0%, 80.0%, 20.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 12 of 19 completed matches (63.2% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Indy Eleven and Birmingham Legion ended 2-2. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.4 goals, while this match produced 4. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Indy Eleven at home was based on 6 matches, with averages of 2.17 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.17 total cards per match. In this game, Indy Eleven received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 2.17 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 33.3% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Birmingham Legion away from home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 2.8 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.8 total cards per match. In this game, Birmingham Legion received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.8 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 80% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Birmingham Legion at 0. The stored market movement was 1.73 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-2, the line settled as a push. The result is neutral and is counted as neither confirmed nor unconfirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed, while 1 settled neutrally. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.