Match context

The upcoming match between Monterey Bay and Phoenix Rising is scheduled for 06.09.2026 02:00 in USL Championship. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Monterey Bay are in position 12 with 17 points after 19 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 3 draws and 12 losses. The goals record is 19 scored and 31 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLDLL. Phoenix Rising are in position 10 with 29 points after 18 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 25 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDWLD.

Recent results

Monterey Bay recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLDLLLLLLD. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 2.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Phoenix Rising recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDWLDDWLLL. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 9 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay recorded 3 wins, there were 2 draws, and Phoenix Rising recorded 4 wins. The average total was 3.44 goals per match. Both teams scored in 66.7% of those matches, while 55.6% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Both teams to score — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Monterey Bay -1 / Phoenix Rising +1 supports Phoenix Rising by an average 5.00 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 10 stored observations. The current confirmed reversal event points in the same direction. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Monterey Bay at home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 1.83 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.83 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 66.7%, 16.7%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 13 of 22 completed matches (59.1% coverage). The discipline profile for Phoenix Rising away from home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 2.17 yellow cards, 0.17 red cards and 2.33 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 33.3%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 16.7%. Season card data is available for 13 of 21 completed matches (61.9% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Monterey Bay and Phoenix Rising ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 9 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.44 goals, while this match produced 2. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 9 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 9 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 55.6%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Phoenix Rising at +1. The stored market movement was 5 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.