Match context

The upcoming match between Tampa Bay Rowdies and Brooklyn is scheduled for 05.09.2026 23:30 in USL Championship. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Tampa Bay Rowdies are in position 1 with 45 points after 18 matches. The season record is 11 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 33 scored and 19 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLWWW. Brooklyn are in position 12 with 16 points after 17 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 17 scored and 32 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLLLL.

Recent results

Tampa Bay Rowdies recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLWDWWWDWL. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. Brooklyn recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLLLDDWLD. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay Rowdies recorded 1 wins, there were 0 draws, and Brooklyn recorded 0 wins. The average total was 2 goals per match. Both teams scored in 0% of those matches, while 0% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%; Under 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Tampa Bay Rowdies to win with 68% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 68.03%, 19.05% and 12.93%. The model momentum difference is 55.10 points in favour of Tampa Bay Rowdies. The input data quality score is 94/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.33 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -9.52%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Tampa Bay Rowdies at home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 2.40 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.40 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 80.0%, 40.0%, 20.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 14 of 18 completed matches (77.8% coverage). The discipline profile for Brooklyn away from home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 2.14 yellow cards, 0.43 red cards and 2.57 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 85.7%, 57.1%, 14.3% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 42.9%. Season card data is available for 10 of 16 completed matches (62.5% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Tampa Bay Rowdies and Brooklyn ended 2-0. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Tampa Bay Rowdies at home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 2.4 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.4 total cards per match. In this game, Tampa Bay Rowdies received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.4 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 40% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Brooklyn away from home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 2.14 yellow cards, 0.43 red cards and 2.57 total cards per match. In this game, Brooklyn received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.57 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 57.1% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 42.9%.

Summary

Of 5 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 0 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.