Match context

The upcoming match between Oakland Roots and Lexington is scheduled for 13.09.2026 02:00 in USL Championship. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Oakland Roots are in position 11 with 27 points after 19 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 25 scored and 28 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWDLD. Lexington are in position 8 with 31 points after 17 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 27 scored and 22 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLWL.

Recent results

Oakland Roots recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWDLDLLLLL. The averages are 0.60 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals. Lexington recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLWLWWDWL. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 3 head-to-head matches, Oakland Roots recorded 1 wins, there were 0 draws, and Lexington recorded 2 wins. The average total was 2.67 goals per match. Both teams scored in 33.3% of those matches, while 66.7% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Under 2.5 goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 50%; Both teams to score — 40%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Oakland Roots -1 / Lexington +1 supports Oakland Roots by an average 4.25 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 19 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Oakland Roots at home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 57.1%, 42.9%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 13 of 22 completed matches (59.1% coverage). The discipline profile for Lexington away from home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 2.83 yellow cards, 0.17 red cards and 3.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 83.3%, 50.0%, 33.3% and 16.7% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 16.7%. Season card data is available for 14 of 20 completed matches (70.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Oakland Roots and Lexington ended 1-4. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.67 goals, while this match produced 5. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 3 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 3 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Oakland Roots at home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, Oakland Roots received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. The total was effectively equal to the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 42.9% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Lexington away from home was based on 6 matches, with averages of 2.83 yellow cards, 0.17 red cards and 3 total cards per match. In this game, Lexington received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 3 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 16.7%, and a red card in 16.7%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Oakland Roots at -1. The stored market movement was 4.25 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-4, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 2 aligned with the final result and 7 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.