Match context

The upcoming match between Sporting JAX and Loudoun United is scheduled for 25.09.2026 23:30 in USL Championship. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Sporting JAX are in position 13 with 14 points after 25 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 5 draws and 17 losses. The goals record is 30 scored and 65 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLWLW. Loudoun United are in position 11 with 20 points after 24 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 11 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 27 scored and 42 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLLD.

Recent results

Sporting JAX recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWLWLLLDW. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 2.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Loudoun United recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLDDLWWD. The averages are 1 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, Sporting JAX recorded 0 wins, there were 1 draws, and Loudoun United recorded 0 wins. The average total was 4 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 3.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Sporting JAX -1 / Loudoun United +1 supports Sporting JAX by an average 1.81 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 12 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 17, score 82/100, 81.85% group success rate across 2485 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Sporting JAX at home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 2.33 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 2.44 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 77.8%, 44.4%, 11.1% and 11.1% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 11.1%. Season card data is available for 18 of 25 completed matches (72.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Loudoun United away from home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 1.86 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.86 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 71.4%, 14.3%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 14 of 24 completed matches (58.3% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Sporting JAX and Loudoun United ended 1-4. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Sporting JAX at home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 2.33 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 2.44 total cards per match. In this game, Sporting JAX received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.44 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 44.4% of matches, 5+ in 11.1%, and a red card in 11.1%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Loudoun United away from home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 1.86 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.86 total cards per match. In this game, Loudoun United received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.14 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 14.3% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Sporting JAX at -1. The stored market movement was 1.81 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-4, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 17. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.