Match context

The upcoming match between Miami FC and Sporting JAX is scheduled for 30.09.2026 23:00 in USL Championship. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Miami FC are in position 9 with 30 points after 26 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 9 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 32 scored and 43 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWDDL. Sporting JAX are in position 13 with 14 points after 26 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 5 draws and 18 losses. The goals record is 31 scored and 69 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLWL.

Recent results

Miami FC recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWDDLLLLDL. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Sporting JAX recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLWLWLLLD. The averages are 1 goals scored and 2.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 2 head-to-head matches, Miami FC recorded 2 wins, there were 0 draws, and Sporting JAX recorded 0 wins. The average total was 3.50 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Miami FC -0.25 / Sporting JAX +0.25 supports Miami FC by an average 2.03 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 13 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 19, score 82/100, 81.83% group success rate across 1761 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Miami FC at home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 2.56 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.56 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 55.6%, 44.4%, 33.3% and 22.2% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 18 of 26 completed matches (69.2% coverage). The discipline profile for Sporting JAX away from home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 2.89 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 3.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 77.8%, 66.7%, 55.6% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 11.1%. Season card data is available for 19 of 26 completed matches (73.1% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Miami FC and Sporting JAX ended 4-1. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 3 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Miami FC at home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 2.56 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.56 total cards per match. In this game, Miami FC received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.56 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 44.4% of matches, 5+ in 22.2%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Sporting JAX away from home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 2.89 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 3 total cards per match. In this game, Sporting JAX received 4 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 5 in total. That was 2 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 66.7% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 11.1%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Miami FC at -0.25. The stored market movement was 2.03 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 4-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 19. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 0 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.