Match context

The upcoming match between FC Tulsa and Sacramento Republic is scheduled for 04.10.2026 00:00 in USL Championship. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
FC Tulsa are in position 4 with 41 points after 26 matches. The season record is 11 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 31 scored and 24 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDDLD. Sacramento Republic are in position 3 with 43 points after 26 matches. The season record is 11 wins, 10 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 36 scored and 24 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWDWD.

Recent results

FC Tulsa recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDDLDWWLLW. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals. Sacramento Republic recorded 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWDWDDDWDL. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, FC Tulsa recorded 3 wins, there were 4 draws, and Sacramento Republic recorded 3 wins. The average total was 1.90 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair FC Tulsa -1 / Sacramento Republic +1 supports FC Tulsa by an average 1.71 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 21 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for FC Tulsa at home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 2.63 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.63 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 87.5%, 50.0%, 12.5% and 12.5% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 17 of 26 completed matches (65.4% coverage). The discipline profile for Sacramento Republic away from home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 2.57 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 2.71 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 71.4%, 57.1%, 28.6% and 14.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 14.3%. Season card data is available for 16 of 26 completed matches (61.5% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between FC Tulsa and Sacramento Republic ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.9 goals, while this match produced 2. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for FC Tulsa at home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 2.63 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.63 total cards per match. In this game, FC Tulsa received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.63 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 12.5%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Sacramento Republic away from home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 2.57 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 2.71 total cards per match. In this game, Sacramento Republic received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.71 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 57.1% of matches, 5+ in 14.3%, and a red card in 14.3%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported FC Tulsa at -1. The stored market movement was 1.71 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-1, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Even. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 8 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.