Match context

The upcoming match between Indy Eleven and Tampa Bay Rowdies is scheduled for 10.10.2026 23:00 in USL Championship. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Indy Eleven are in position 9 with 34 points after 27 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 7 draws and 11 losses. The goals record is 33 scored and 33 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLLLW. Tampa Bay Rowdies are in position 1 with 52 points after 27 matches. The season record is 15 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 46 scored and 25 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDWLW.

Recent results

Indy Eleven recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLLLWDDLWW. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Tampa Bay Rowdies recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDWLWDLWDW. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 0.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 20% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Indy Eleven recorded 0 wins, there were 3 draws, and Tampa Bay Rowdies recorded 7 wins. The average total was 2.40 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Indy Eleven at home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 1.78 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 1.89 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 66.7%, 22.2%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 11.1%. Season card data is available for 17 of 27 completed matches (63.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Tampa Bay Rowdies away from home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 3.00 yellow cards, 0.18 red cards and 3.18 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 81.8%, 54.5%, 36.4% and 36.4% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 18.2%. Season card data is available for 19 of 27 completed matches (70.4% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Indy Eleven and Tampa Bay Rowdies ended 1-3. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.4 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Indy Eleven at home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 1.78 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 1.89 total cards per match. In this game, Indy Eleven received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 0.89 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 22.2% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 11.1%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Tampa Bay Rowdies away from home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 3 yellow cards, 0.18 red cards and 3.18 total cards per match. In this game, Tampa Bay Rowdies received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 1.18 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 54.5% of matches, 5+ in 36.4%, and a red card in 18.2%.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.