Match context

The upcoming match between Portland Hearts of Pine and Forward Madison is scheduled for 16.08.2026 22:30 in USL League One. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Portland Hearts of Pine are in position 11 with 21 points after 18 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 29 scored and 31 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDLLW. Forward Madison are in position 4 with 35 points after 17 matches. The season record is 11 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 36 scored and 17 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWWWW.

Recent results

Portland Hearts of Pine recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDLLDWWLLL. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 2.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 90% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. Forward Madison recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLWWWWWWWD. The averages are 2.50 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 2 head-to-head matches, Portland Hearts of Pine recorded 0 wins, there were 1 draws, and Forward Madison recorded 1 wins. The average total was 3 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Portland Hearts of Pine -1.25 / Forward Madison +1.25 supports Forward Madison by an average 3.15 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 3 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 1.65). Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.20, score 78/100, 77.70% bucket win rate across 453 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Portland Hearts of Pine at home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 2.71 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.71 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 71.4%, 57.1%, 28.6% and 14.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 14 of 17 completed matches (82.4% coverage). The discipline profile for Forward Madison away from home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 2.83 yellow cards, 0.33 red cards and 3.17 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 83.3%, 83.3%, 50.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 33.3%. Season card data is available for 15 of 17 completed matches (88.2% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Portland Hearts of Pine and Forward Madison ended 1-2. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Portland Hearts of Pine at home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 2.71 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.71 total cards per match. In this game, Portland Hearts of Pine received 3 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 4 in total. That was 1.29 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 57.1% of matches, 5+ in 14.3%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Forward Madison away from home was based on 6 matches, with averages of 2.83 yellow cards, 0.33 red cards and 3.17 total cards per match. In this game, Forward Madison received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.17 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 83.3% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 33.3%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Forward Madison at +1.25. The stored market movement was 3.15 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 1-2, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.65. The actual market outcome was BTTS Yes. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.2. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 0 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.