Match context

The upcoming match between IFK Goteborg and Degerfors IF is scheduled for 02.08.2026 12:00 in Allsvenskan. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
IFK Goteborg are in position 13 with 13 points after 14 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 17 scored and 33 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLLW. Degerfors IF are in position 14 with 10 points after 14 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 12 scored and 24 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLLD.

Recent results

IFK Goteborg recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLWLLLDWD. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 2.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 90% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. Degerfors IF recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLWDLDLD. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, IFK Goteborg recorded 8 wins, there were 0 draws, and Degerfors IF recorded 2 wins. The average total was 3.70 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as IFK Goteborg or draw (1X) with 80% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 54.59%, 25.53% and 19.88%. The model momentum difference is 34.71 points in favour of IFK Goteborg. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.18 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.46%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair IFK Goteborg -0.5 / Degerfors IF +0.5 supports Degerfors IF by an average 1.14 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, Unibet) with up to 5 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

3 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Under 2.5 (odds 2). Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2). Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.22, score 79/100, 79.22% bucket win rate across 255 observations).

What happened in the match

The match between IFK Goteborg and Degerfors IF ended 2-0. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.7 goals, while this match produced 2. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Degerfors IF at +0.5. The stored market movement was 1.14 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-0, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Under 2.5 at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Under 2.5. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Even. The Premium signal was not confirmed. The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.22. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 11 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 6 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.