Match context

The upcoming match between Djurgardens IF and Gais is scheduled for 14.09.2026 17:00 in Allsvenskan. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Djurgardens IF are in position 2 with 38 points after 20 matches. The season record is 12 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 44 scored and 19 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWWL. Gais are in position 10 with 27 points after 20 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 25 scored and 18 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWLLW.

Recent results

Djurgardens IF recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWWWLLWWD. The averages are 2.50 goals scored and 0.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 20% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Gais recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWWLLWLDWL. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 10% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 5 head-to-head matches, Djurgardens IF recorded 2 wins, there were 1 draws, and Gais recorded 2 wins. The average total was 2 goals per match. Both teams scored in 20% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Djurgardens IF to win with 60% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 60.04%, 23.57% and 16.39%. The model momentum difference is 43.65 points in favour of Djurgardens IF. The input data quality score is 98/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.57 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.74%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2). At least one goal in the match (quota 15, score 80/100, 80.09% group success rate across 3189 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Djurgardens IF at home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 1.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 60.0%, 10.0%, 10.0%, 10.0% and 10.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 20 of 20 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Gais away from home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 2.56 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.56 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 88.9%, 44.4%, 11.1% and 11.1% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 20 of 20 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Djurgardens IF and Gais ended 2-0. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 2 total goals, while this match produced 2. That is an exact match with the historical scoring profile. Across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 90%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Djurgardens IF at home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 1 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1 total cards per match. In this game, Djurgardens IF received 1 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 2 in total. That was 1 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 10% of matches, 5+ in 10%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Gais away from home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 2.56 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.56 total cards per match. In this game, Gais received 3 yellow cards and 2 red cards, 5 in total. That was 2.44 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 44.4% of matches, 5+ in 11.1%, and a red card in 0%.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Even. The Premium signal was not confirmed. The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 15. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 8 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.