Match context

The upcoming match between Hammarby FF and IF Brommapojkarna is scheduled for 13.09.2026 12:00 in Allsvenskan. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Hammarby FF are in position 3 with 37 points after 20 matches. The season record is 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 45 scored and 19 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLWWW. IF Brommapojkarna are in position 11 with 27 points after 20 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 29 scored and 32 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWWD.

Recent results

Hammarby FF recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLWWWLWDLD. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. IF Brommapojkarna recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLWWDLDLL. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Hammarby FF recorded 6 wins, there were 2 draws, and IF Brommapojkarna recorded 2 wins. The average total was 3.20 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 10.60; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Hammarby FF to win with 79% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 78.74%, 11.81% and 9.45%. The model momentum difference is 69.29 points in favour of Hammarby FF. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.20 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.51%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Hammarby FF 0 / IF Brommapojkarna 0 supports Hammarby FF by an average 1.68 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 6 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 26, score 85/100, 85.34% group success rate across 498 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Hammarby FF at home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 0.90 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 0.90 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 60.0%, 30.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 20 of 20 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for IF Brommapojkarna away from home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 1.90 yellow cards, 0.20 red cards and 2.10 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 90.0%, 60.0%, 40.0%, 20.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 20.0%. Season card data is available for 20 of 20 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Hammarby FF and IF Brommapojkarna ended 3-1. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 3 goals. The verified final statistics recorded 10 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.2 goals, while this match produced 4. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 10.6 total corners. The match recorded 10 corners in total. The result remained within one corner of the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 8.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 9.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Hammarby FF at home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 0.9 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 0.9 total cards per match. In this game, Hammarby FF received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 0.1 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for IF Brommapojkarna away from home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 1.9 yellow cards, 0.2 red cards and 2.1 total cards per match. In this game, IF Brommapojkarna received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 2.1 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 40% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 20%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Hammarby FF at 0. The stored market movement was 1.68 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 3-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 26. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 13 verifiable pre-match indicators, 12 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.