Match context

The upcoming match between Bodo/Glimt and Lillestrom is scheduled for 31.07.2026 19:00 in Eliteserien. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Bodo/Glimt are in position 1 with 35 points after 15 matches. The season record is 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 37 scored and 11 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWWD. Lillestrom are in position 4 with 25 points after 14 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 22 scored and 14 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWWLL.

Recent results

Bodo/Glimt recorded 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWWWWDWWW. The averages are 3.10 goals scored and 0.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. Lillestrom recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWLLLLWLW. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Bodo/Glimt recorded 7 wins, there were 1 draws, and Lillestrom recorded 2 wins. The average total was 3.90 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Bodo/Glimt to win with 75% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 75.12%, 14.45% and 10.43%. The model momentum difference is 64.69 points in favour of Bodo/Glimt. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.25 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -6.10%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Bodo/Glimt 0 / Lillestrom 0 supports Bodo/Glimt by an average 1.33 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 3 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 26, score 85/100, 85.25% group success rate across 366 observations).

What happened in the match

The match between Bodo/Glimt and Lillestrom ended 4-0. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.9 goals, while this match produced 4. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Bodo/Glimt at 0. The stored market movement was 1.33 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 4-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 26. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.