Match context

The upcoming match between Valerenga and Bodo/Glimt is scheduled for 08.08.2026 12:00 in Eliteserien. The listed venue is Intility Arena, Oslo. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Valerenga are in position 9 with 20 points after 15 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 22 scored and 27 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWWLW. Bodo/Glimt are in position 1 with 38 points after 16 matches. The season record is 12 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 41 scored and 11 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWWW.

Recent results

Valerenga recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWLWLDWLW. The averages are 2 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. Bodo/Glimt recorded 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWWWWWWWDW. The averages are 2.90 goals scored and 0.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Valerenga recorded 1 wins, there were 1 draws, and Bodo/Glimt recorded 8 wins. The average total was 4.50 goals per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 100%; Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 80%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 3.5 goals — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 10.03; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Bodo/Glimt to win with 64% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 16.19%, 19.60% and 64.21%. The model momentum difference is 48.02 points in favour of Bodo/Glimt. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.45 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -6.90%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Valerenga -0.5 / Bodo/Glimt +0.5 supports Valerenga by an average 1.05 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, Unibet) with up to 3 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

What happened in the match

The match between Valerenga and Bodo/Glimt ended 1-2. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 4.5 goals, while this match produced 3. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Valerenga at -0.5. The stored market movement was 1.05 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-2, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.