Match context

The upcoming match between Molde and Tromso is scheduled for 16.08.2026 15:00 in Eliteserien. The listed venue is Aker Stadion, Molde. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Molde are in position 5 with 24 points after 15 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 28 scored and 22 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDWLD. Tromso are in position 3 with 34 points after 16 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 32 scored and 17 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWDD.

Recent results

Molde recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDWLDLLWWL. The averages are 2.10 goals scored and 2.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals. Tromso recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWLLWWDDL. The averages are 2.30 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Molde recorded 6 wins, there were 0 draws, and Tromso recorded 4 wins. The average total was 3.10 goals per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 90%; Both teams to score — 80%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 70%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 8.80; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 93%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Molde -1.5 / Tromso +1.5 supports Molde by an average 5.72 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet, Unibet) with up to 6 stored observations. The current confirmed reversal event points in the same direction. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.20, score 78/100, 77.80% bucket win rate across 446 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Molde at home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 1.63 yellow cards, 0.13 red cards and 1.75 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 25.0%, 25.0%, 25.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 12.5%. Season card data is available for 16 of 16 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Tromso away from home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 1.29 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 1.43 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 85.7%, 42.9%, 14.3%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 14.3%. Season card data is available for 16 of 16 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Molde and Tromso ended 3-2. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The verified final statistics recorded 5 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.1 goals, while this match produced 5. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 8.8 total corners. The match recorded 5 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 7.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 8.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 93%. The actual outcome was Under 9.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Molde at home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 1.63 yellow cards, 0.13 red cards and 1.75 total cards per match. In this game, Molde received 4 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 4 in total. That was 2.25 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 25% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 12.5%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Tromso away from home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 1.29 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 1.43 total cards per match. In this game, Tromso received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 0.43 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 14.3% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 14.3%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Molde at -1.5. The stored market movement was 5.72 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 3-2, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.2. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 15 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 9 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.