Match context

The upcoming match between Bodo/Glimt and Rosenborg is scheduled for 30.08.2026 12:30 in Eliteserien. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Bodo/Glimt are in position 1 with 41 points after 16 matches. The season record is 12 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 41 scored and 11 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWWW. Rosenborg are in position 7 with 24 points after 15 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 21 scored and 21 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWLWW.

Recent results

Bodo/Glimt recorded 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWWWDWWWW. The averages are 3 goals scored and 0.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals. Rosenborg recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWLWLWWWD. The averages are 2.90 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Bodo/Glimt recorded 3 wins, there were 5 draws, and Rosenborg recorded 2 wins. The average total was 3.50 goals per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 100%; Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 2.5 goals — 90%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 3.5 goals — 60%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 11.35; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Bodo/Glimt to win with 69% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 69.37%, 17.15% and 13.48%. The model momentum difference is 55.89 points in favour of Bodo/Glimt. The input data quality score is 99/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.36 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.66%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Bodo/Glimt -0.5 / Rosenborg +0.5 supports Bodo/Glimt by an average 1.20 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (Bet365) with up to 3 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 26, score 85/100, 85.40% group success rate across 459 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Bodo/Glimt at home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 0.25 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 0.25 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 25.0%, 0.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 17 of 17 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Rosenborg away from home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 2.75 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.75 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 87.5%, 75.0%, 62.5%, 25.0% and 12.5% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 17 of 17 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Bodo/Glimt and Rosenborg ended 4-2. The game produced 6 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The verified final statistics recorded 12 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.5 goals, while this match produced 6. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 11.35 total corners. The match recorded 12 corners in total. The result remained within one corner of the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 8.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 9.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Bodo/Glimt at home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 0.25 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 0.25 total cards per match. In this game, Bodo/Glimt received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 0.75 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Rosenborg away from home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 2.75 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.75 total cards per match. In this game, Rosenborg received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.75 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 62.5% of matches, 5+ in 12.5%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Bodo/Glimt at -0.5. The stored market movement was 1.2 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 4-2, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 26. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 14 verifiable pre-match indicators, 13 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.