Match context

The upcoming match between Molde and KFUM Oslo is scheduled for 06.09.2026 15:00 in Eliteserien. The listed venue is Aker Stadion, Molde. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Molde are in position 4 with 27 points after 15 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 28 scored and 22 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLDWL. KFUM Oslo are in position 12 with 19 points after 16 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 18 scored and 26 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWWLL.

Recent results

Molde recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWLDWLDLL. The averages are 3.10 goals scored and 2.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 90% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals. KFUM Oslo recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWDWWLLLLD. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 5 head-to-head matches, Molde recorded 1 wins, there were 2 draws, and KFUM Oslo recorded 2 wins. The average total was 3.60 goals per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 10.58; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Molde to win with 70% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 70.30%, 18.70% and 11.00%. The model momentum difference is 59.30 points in favour of Molde. The input data quality score is 93/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.33 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -6.50%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Molde at home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 1.89 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 33.3%, 33.3%, 33.3% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 11.1%. Season card data is available for 18 of 18 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for KFUM Oslo away from home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 2.38 yellow cards, 0.38 red cards and 2.75 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 75.0%, 50.0%, 37.5% and 12.5% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 37.5%. Season card data is available for 18 of 18 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Molde and KFUM Oslo ended 2-0. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The verified final statistics recorded 11 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.6 goals, while this match produced 2. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 10.58 total corners. The match recorded 11 corners in total. The result remained within one corner of the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 8.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 9.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Molde at home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 1.89 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, Molde received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 2 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 33.3% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 11.1%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for KFUM Oslo away from home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 2.38 yellow cards, 0.38 red cards and 2.75 total cards per match. In this game, KFUM Oslo received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.75 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 12.5%, and a red card in 37.5%.

Summary

Of 13 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 7 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.