Match context

The upcoming match between Rosenborg and Ham-Kam is scheduled for 05.09.2026 14:00 in Eliteserien. The listed venue is Lerkendal Stadion, Trondheim. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Rosenborg are in position 7 with 24 points after 15 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 21 scored and 21 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWLWW. Ham-Kam are in position 10 with 22 points after 15 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 23 scored and 26 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDWLL.

Recent results

Rosenborg recorded 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWWLWLWWW. The averages are 2.90 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals. Ham-Kam recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWLDWLLLDW. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 8 head-to-head matches, Rosenborg recorded 5 wins, there were 1 draws, and Ham-Kam recorded 2 wins. The average total was 2.63 goals per match. Both teams scored in 25% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 3.5 goals — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 11; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Rosenborg to win with 71% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 71.40%, 17.68% and 10.92%. The model momentum difference is 60.48 points in favour of Rosenborg. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.30 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -7.18%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Rosenborg 0 / Ham-Kam 0 supports Rosenborg by an average 2.55 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 10 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Corners Over Under — Over 8.5 (odds 1.21, score 89/100, 88.89% bucket win rate across 9 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Rosenborg at home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 1.33 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.33 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 77.8%, 44.4%, 11.1%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 18 of 18 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Ham-Kam away from home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 1.44 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 1.56 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 77.8%, 55.6%, 22.2%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 11.1%. Season card data is available for 18 of 18 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Rosenborg and Ham-Kam ended 4-0. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The verified final statistics recorded 9 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 8 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.63 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 8 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 75%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 11 total corners. The match recorded 9 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 8.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 9.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Rosenborg at home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 1.33 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.33 total cards per match. In this game, Rosenborg received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 1.33 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 11.1% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Ham-Kam away from home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 1.44 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 1.56 total cards per match. In this game, Ham-Kam received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.44 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 22.2% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 11.1%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Rosenborg at 0. The stored market movement was 2.55 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 4-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Over 8.5 corners at odds of 1.21. The actual market outcome was Over 8.5 corners. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 12 verifiable pre-match indicators, 9 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.