Match context

The upcoming match between Bodo/Glimt and Sandefjord is scheduled for 14.09.2026 17:00 in Eliteserien. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Bodo/Glimt are in position 1 with 47 points after 19 matches. The season record is 15 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 49 scored and 15 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWWW. Sandefjord are in position 12 with 20 points after 19 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 16 scored and 24 conceded. The stored form sequence is DDWLL.

Recent results

Bodo/Glimt recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWWWWWWDW. The averages are 2.90 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals. Sandefjord recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DDWWLLLLDL. The averages are 2.20 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Bodo/Glimt recorded 8 wins, there were 1 draws, and Sandefjord recorded 1 wins. The average total was 3.60 goals per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Bodo/Glimt to win with 81% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 80.89%, 11.83% and 7.28%. The model momentum difference is 73.61 points in favour of Bodo/Glimt. The input data quality score is 98/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.17 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.36%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 29, score 83/100, 83.14% group success rate across 516 observations). Odd/Even - First Half — Even (odds 1.82).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Bodo/Glimt at home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 0.33 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 0.33 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 33.3%, 0.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 19 of 19 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Sandefjord away from home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 2.11 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 77.8%, 66.7%, 55.6%, 11.1% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 11.1%. Season card data is available for 19 of 19 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Bodo/Glimt and Sandefjord ended 3-2. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.6 goals, while this match produced 5. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Bodo/Glimt at home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 0.33 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 0.33 total cards per match. In this game, Bodo/Glimt received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 0.33 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Sandefjord away from home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 2.11 total cards per match. In this game, Sandefjord received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.89 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 55.6% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 11.1%.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 29. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was Even HT goals at odds of 1.82. The actual market outcome was Odd HT goals. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.