Match context

The upcoming match between Hammarby and Växjö is scheduled for 31.07.2026 17:00 in Damallsvenskan. The listed venue is Hammarby IP, Stockholm. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Hammarby are in position 2 with 28 points after 12 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 26 scored and 6 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWLWW. Växjö are in position 10 with 11 points after 11 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 16 scored and 18 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDWLL.

Recent results

Hammarby recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDWLWWWWWW. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 0.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. Växjö recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDWLLLDLLW. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 9 head-to-head matches, Hammarby recorded 7 wins, there were 1 draws, and Växjö recorded 1 wins. The average total was 4.33 goals per match. Both teams scored in 66.7% of those matches, while 88.9% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Hammarby to win with 81% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 81.36%, 11.70% and 6.94%. The model momentum difference is 74.42 points in favour of Hammarby. The input data quality score is 88/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.13 with Pinnacle. The stored estimated EV is -8.06%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

What happened in the match

The match between Hammarby and Växjö ended 5-0. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 3 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 9 head-to-head meetings averaged 4.33 goals, while this match produced 5. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 9 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 9 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 88.9%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.