Match context

The upcoming match between Asane and Kongsvinger is scheduled for 09.08.2026 15:00 in 1. Division. The listed venue is Åsane Arena, Bergen. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Asane are in position 16 with 14 points after 16 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 37 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDLWL. Kongsvinger are in position 2 with 33 points after 16 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 43 scored and 25 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWWLD.

Recent results

Asane recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDLWLWLWWD. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Kongsvinger recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWLDWWLWW. The averages are 3 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Asane recorded 2 wins, there were 3 draws, and Kongsvinger recorded 5 wins. The average total was 2.70 goals per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 90%; Both teams to score — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 3.5 goals — 80%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Kongsvinger to win with 67% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 14.88%, 17.72% and 67.40%. The model momentum difference is 52.52 points in favour of Kongsvinger. The input data quality score is 99/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.38 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -6.99%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Asane -0.25 / Kongsvinger +0.25 supports Kongsvinger by an average 2.57 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 5 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 26, score 86/100, 85.71% group success rate across 399 observations).

What happened in the match

The match between Asane and Kongsvinger ended 1-2. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.7 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Kongsvinger at +0.25. The stored market movement was 2.57 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-2, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 26. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 11 verifiable pre-match indicators, 8 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.