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W L W D L
3
🏟 Marienlyst Stadion , Drammen
✔ Full Time
1
W W W L W
3
Yellow cards
0
1
Red cards
0

🔁 Head-to-Head

0
0
1
🟢 Stromsgodset 🟡 Draws hodd 🔴
Date Match Score
04.07.2026 hodd - Stromsgodset 4 : 3

🗓 Latest Matches: Stromsgodset

Date Match Score Res
23.08.2026 Modum FK - Stromsgodset 0 - 0 D
15.08.2026 Ranheim - Stromsgodset 1 - 3 W
09.08.2026 Stromsgodset - Egersund 0 - 2 L
01.08.2026 Bryne - Stromsgodset 0 - 2 W
25.07.2026 Stromsgodset - Lyn 1 - 1 D

📆 Latest Matches: hodd

Date Match Score Res
22.08.2026 Spjelkavik - hodd 1 - 2 W
16.08.2026 hodd - Strommen 4 - 3 W
09.08.2026 Sandnes ULF - hodd 3 - 4 W
02.08.2026 hodd - Moss 2 - 1 W
27.07.2026 Stabaek - hodd 6 - 0 L

Pre-match analysis

This analysis is locked and its content can no longer be changed.

Match context

The upcoming match between Stromsgodset and hodd is scheduled for 26.08.2026 17:00 in 1. Division. The listed venue is Marienlyst Stadion, Drammen. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Stromsgodset are in position 4 with 35 points after 16 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 44 scored and 23 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWDL. hodd are in position 5 with 30 points after 16 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 26 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWLW.

Recent results

Stromsgodset recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWDLDDWWW. The averages are 2.70 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. hodd recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWWLWWDLL. The averages are 2.10 goals scored and 2.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, Stromsgodset recorded 0 wins, there were 0 draws, and hodd recorded 1 wins. The average total was 7 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 3.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Stromsgodset to win with 76% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 76.09%, 15.47% and 8.44%. The model momentum difference is 67.65 points in favour of Stromsgodset. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.22 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -7.17%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Stromsgodset +0.25 / hodd -0.25 supports Stromsgodset by an average 1.17 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 7 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 29, score 83/100, 82.63% group success rate across 426 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Stromsgodset at home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 75.0%, 12.5%, 12.5% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 15 of 18 completed matches (83.3% coverage). The discipline profile for hodd away from home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 1.88 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.88 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 75.0%, 12.5%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 17 of 18 completed matches (94.4% coverage).

Generated: 2026-08-26 11:00:06 · Locked: 2026-08-26 18:40:09

Post-match review

What happened in the match

The match between Stromsgodset and hodd ended 3-1. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Stromsgodset at home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, Stromsgodset received 3 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 4 in total. That was 2 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 12.5% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for hodd away from home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 1.88 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.88 total cards per match. In this game, hodd received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 1.88 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 12.5% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Stromsgodset at +0.25. The stored market movement was 1.17 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 3-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 29. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.

Added after the match: 2026-08-26 21:31:13
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