Match context

The upcoming match between Stromsgodset and Sandnes ULF is scheduled for 13.09.2026 15:00 in 1. Division. The listed venue is Marienlyst Stadion, Drammen. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Stromsgodset are in position 4 with 42 points after 21 matches. The season record is 12 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 54 scored and 30 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWWWL. Sandnes ULF are in position 11 with 24 points after 21 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses. The goals record is 30 scored and 36 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWLLL.

Recent results

Stromsgodset recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDWWWLWDLD. The averages are 2.20 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Sandnes ULF recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWWLLLLLDW. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 2 head-to-head matches, Stromsgodset recorded 1 wins, there were 1 draws, and Sandnes ULF recorded 0 wins. The average total was 3 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 3.5 goals — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 13.54; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Stromsgodset to win with 70% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 70.44%, 17.85% and 11.71%. The model momentum difference is 58.73 points in favour of Stromsgodset. The input data quality score is 97/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.33 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -6.31%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Stromsgodset +0.25 / Sandnes ULF -0.25 supports Stromsgodset by an average 1.35 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 8 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 26, score 85/100, 85.34% group success rate across 498 observations). Corners Over Under — Over 8.5 (odds 1.21, score 90/100, 90% bucket win rate across 10 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Stromsgodset at home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 2.11 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 2.22 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 77.8%, 22.2%, 22.2% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 11.1%. Season card data is available for 18 of 21 completed matches (85.7% coverage). The discipline profile for Sandnes ULF away from home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 2.11 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 77.8%, 11.1%, 11.1% and 11.1% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 11.1%. Season card data is available for 19 of 21 completed matches (90.5% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Stromsgodset and Sandnes ULF ended 4-1. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 4 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Stromsgodset at home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 2.11 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 2.22 total cards per match. In this game, Stromsgodset received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 2.22 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 22.2% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 11.1%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Sandnes ULF away from home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 2.11 total cards per match. In this game, Sandnes ULF received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.11 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 11.1% of matches, 5+ in 11.1%, and a red card in 11.1%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Stromsgodset at +0.25. The stored market movement was 1.35 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 4-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 26. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.