Match context

The upcoming match between Mjondalen and Eik-Tønsberg is scheduled for 15.08.2026 13:00 in 2. Division - Group 1. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Mjondalen are in position 3 with 29 points after 14 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 27 scored and 19 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWWW. Eik-Tønsberg are in position 14 with 4 points after 14 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 1 draws and 12 losses. The goals record is 16 scored and 36 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLLL.

Recent results

Mjondalen recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWWWDLWWW. The averages are 2 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Eik-Tønsberg recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLLDLWLL. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 2.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mjondalen recorded 1 wins, there were 0 draws, and Eik-Tønsberg recorded 1 wins. The average total was 4 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Mjondalen to win with 67% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 67.36%, 18.86% and 13.78%. The model momentum difference is 53.58 points in favour of Mjondalen. The input data quality score is 95/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.33 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.41%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Mjondalen +0.25 / Eik-Tønsberg -0.25 supports Mjondalen by an average 2.00 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 2 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Mjondalen at home is based on 4 matches. The team averages 2.25 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.25 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 75.0%, 50.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 8 of 15 completed matches (53.3% coverage). The discipline profile for Eik-Tønsberg away from home is based on 4 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards and 2.25 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 75.0%, 50.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 25.0%. Season card data is available for 8 of 15 completed matches (53.3% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Mjondalen and Eik-Tønsberg ended 2-1. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Mjondalen at home was based on 4 matches, with averages of 2.25 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.25 total cards per match. In this game, Mjondalen received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.25 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Eik-Tønsberg away from home was based on 4 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards and 2.25 total cards per match. In this game, Eik-Tønsberg received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 2.25 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 25%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Mjondalen at +0.25. The stored market movement was 2 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 5 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.