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🔁 Head-to-Head

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🟢 Bærum 🟡 Draws Nordstrand 🔴
Date Match Score
18.04.2026 Nordstrand - Bærum 1 : 5
31.08.2024 Bærum - Nordstrand 3 : 3
25.05.2024 Nordstrand - Bærum 2 : 2
24.07.2021 Nordstrand - Bærum 2 : 2

🗓 Latest Matches: Bærum

Date Match Score Res
30.08.2026 Konnerud - Bærum 1 - 1 D
22.08.2026 Bærum - Mjondalen 4 - 0 W
15.08.2026 SF Grei - Bærum 1 - 7 W
10.08.2026 Bærum - KFUM II 5 - 1 W
01.08.2026 Heming - Bærum 3 - 1 L

📆 Latest Matches: Nordstrand

Date Match Score Res
01.09.2026 Nordstrand - SF Grei 3 - 5 L
22.08.2026 Nordstrand - Skeid 1 - 4 L
17.08.2026 KFUM II - Nordstrand 7 - 2 L
08.08.2026 Nordstrand - Frigg 2 - 3 L
01.08.2026 Konnerud - Nordstrand 2 - 3 W

Pre-match analysis

This analysis is locked and its content can no longer be changed.

Match context

The upcoming match between Bærum and Nordstrand is scheduled for 05.09.2026 12:00 in 3. Division - Girone 1. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Bærum are in position 3 with 31 points after 14 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 44 scored and 27 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWLWD. Nordstrand are in position 10 with 16 points after 14 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 23 scored and 30 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLWLW.

Recent results

Bærum recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWWWLWDWWW. The averages are 4.10 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. Nordstrand recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLWLWLLD. The averages are 2.10 goals scored and 3.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 90% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bærum recorded 1 wins, there were 3 draws, and Nordstrand recorded 0 wins. The average total was 5 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 100%; Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 2.5 goals — 100%; Both teams to score — 90%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 90%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Bærum to win with 75% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 74.62%, 14.00% and 11.38%. The model momentum difference is 63.24 points in favour of Bærum. The input data quality score is 94/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.22 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -8.97%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Bærum 0 / Nordstrand 0 supports Bærum by an average 2.06 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 5 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 1.47). At least one goal in the match (quota 70, score 86/100, 86.36% group success rate across 22 observations).

Generated: 2026-09-05 10:15:02 · Locked: 2026-09-05 13:40:09

Post-match review

What happened in the match

The match between Bærum and Nordstrand ended 1-0. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 5 goals, while this match produced 1. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 4 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 100%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 4 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 100%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 90%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Bærum at 0. The stored market movement was 2.06 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 1-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.47. The actual market outcome was BTTS No. The Premium signal was not confirmed. The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 70. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 12 verifiable pre-match indicators, 2 aligned with the final result and 10 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.

Added after the match: 2026-09-05 16:07:09
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