Match context

The upcoming match between Bærum and Frigg is scheduled for 31.10.2026 12:00 in 3. Division - Girone 1. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Bærum are in position 6 with 39 points after 25 matches. The season record is 12 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 68 scored and 48 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWLLL. Frigg are in position 8 with 33 points after 25 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 53 scored and 62 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLLD.

Recent results

Bærum recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWLLLLLLWD. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 2.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Frigg recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLDLWLWL. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 3.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 7 head-to-head matches, Bærum recorded 2 wins, there were 2 draws, and Frigg recorded 3 wins. The average total was 4.57 goals per match. Both teams scored in 85.7% of those matches, while 85.7% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 90%; Both teams to score — 80%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 70%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Bærum to win with 65% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 64.98%, 17.08% and 17.94%. The model momentum difference is 47.05 points in favour of Bærum. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.38 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.32%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

3 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 55, score 93/100, 93.48% group success rate across 46 observations). Odd/Even - First Half — Even (odds 1.85). Combo (BTTS Yes + Over 2.5) — Yes (odds 1.21, score 76/100, 76.47% bucket win rate across 51 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Frigg away from home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 0.00 yellow cards, 1.00 red cards and 1.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 1 of 25 completed matches (4.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Bærum and Frigg ended 4-4. The game produced 8 goals in total. The first half contained 4 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 7 head-to-head meetings averaged 4.57 goals, while this match produced 8. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 7 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 85.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 7 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 85.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 55. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was Even HT goals at odds of 1.85. The actual market outcome was Even HT goals. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes + Over 2.5 at odds of 1.21. The actual market outcome was BTTS Yes + Over 2.5. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 12 verifiable pre-match indicators, 11 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.