Match context

The upcoming match between Rosenborg II and Nardo is scheduled for 13.09.2026 13:00 in 3. Division - Girone 2. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Rosenborg II are in position 6 with 25 points after 18 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 36 scored and 30 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLWW. Nardo are in position 13 with 17 points after 17 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 33 scored and 40 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLLWL.

Recent results

Rosenborg II recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLWWDWDWD. The averages are 2 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Nardo recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLWLLWLDL. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 2.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Rosenborg II recorded 2 wins, there were 3 draws, and Nardo recorded 5 wins. The average total was 3.30 goals per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 90%; Both teams to score — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Rosenborg II to win with 60% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 60.48%, 18.85% and 20.67%. The model momentum difference is 39.81 points in favour of Rosenborg II. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.48 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.49%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 46, score 80/100, 80.28% group success rate across 71 observations).

What happened in the match

The match between Rosenborg II and Nardo ended 2-5. The game produced 7 goals in total. The first half contained 3 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.3 goals, while this match produced 7. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 46. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.