Match context

The upcoming match between Sarpsborg 08 II and Råde is scheduled for 31.08.2026 17:00 in 3. Division - Girone 6. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Sarpsborg 08 II are in position 11 with 15 points after 14 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 23 scored and 36 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWDLL. Råde are in position 3 with 32 points after 14 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 56 scored and 26 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDWWL.

Recent results

Sarpsborg 08 II recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWDLLWDLLW. The averages are 2.70 goals scored and 2.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. Råde recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWDWWLWWLW. The averages are 3.40 goals scored and 2.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 90% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, Sarpsborg 08 II recorded 0 wins, there were 0 draws, and Råde recorded 1 wins. The average total was 6 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 80%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Råde to win with 61% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 21.38%, 17.96% and 60.67%. The model momentum difference is 39.29 points in favour of Råde. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.48 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.21%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 50, score 92/100, 92.11% group success rate across 38 observations).

What happened in the match

The match between Sarpsborg 08 II and Råde ended 3-2. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 5 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 50. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 0 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.