Match context

The upcoming match between Ostersunds FK and GIF Sundsvall is scheduled for 07.08.2026 17:00 in Superettan. The listed venue is Jämtkraft Arena, Östersund. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Ostersunds FK are in position 4 with 29 points after 17 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 27 scored and 21 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDWWL. GIF Sundsvall are in position 16 with 9 points after 17 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 0 draws and 14 losses. The goals record is 13 scored and 41 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLLL.

Recent results

Ostersunds FK recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDWLWLDDWL. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals. GIF Sundsvall recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLLLWLLW. The averages are 0.70 goals scored and 2.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ostersunds FK recorded 3 wins, there were 2 draws, and GIF Sundsvall recorded 5 wins. The average total was 2 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 3.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Ostersunds FK to win with 62% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 61.58%, 22.89% and 15.53%. The model momentum difference is 46.05 points in favour of Ostersunds FK. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.45 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.71%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Ostersunds FK -0.75 / GIF Sundsvall +0.75 supports Ostersunds FK by an average 1.23 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 3 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

What happened in the match

The match between Ostersunds FK and GIF Sundsvall ended 1-0. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2 goals, while this match produced 1. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Ostersunds FK at -0.75. The stored market movement was 1.23 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 1-0, the line settled as a half win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.