Match context

The upcoming match between IK brage and GIF Sundsvall is scheduled for 05.09.2026 15:00 in Superettan. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
IK brage are in position 14 with 21 points after 17 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 30 scored and 30 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLDLW. GIF Sundsvall are in position 16 with 13 points after 17 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 0 draws and 14 losses. The goals record is 13 scored and 41 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLDLL.

Recent results

IK brage recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLDLWDLLW. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 2.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. GIF Sundsvall recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLDLLLLLL. The averages are 0.60 goals scored and 2.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, IK brage recorded 8 wins, there were 1 draws, and GIF Sundsvall recorded 1 wins. The average total was 2.20 goals per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 9.43; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 99%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as IK brage or draw (1X) with 81% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 59.14%, 22.18% and 18.68%. The model momentum difference is 40.47 points in favour of IK brage. The input data quality score is 90/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.17 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -4.85%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair IK brage 0 / GIF Sundsvall 0 supports IK brage by an average 4.99 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 23 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 1.70).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for IK brage at home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 2.33 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.33 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 88.9%, 22.2%, 22.2% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 19 of 21 completed matches (90.5% coverage). The discipline profile for GIF Sundsvall away from home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 1.78 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.78 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 77.8%, 66.7%, 22.2%, 11.1% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 20 of 21 completed matches (95.2% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between IK brage and GIF Sundsvall ended 0-1. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The verified final statistics recorded 10 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.2 goals, while this match produced 1. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 9.43 total corners. The match recorded 10 corners in total. The result remained within one corner of the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 8.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 99%. The actual outcome was Over 9.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for IK brage at home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 2.33 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.33 total cards per match. In this game, IK brage received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.33 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 22.2% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for GIF Sundsvall away from home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 1.78 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.78 total cards per match. In this game, GIF Sundsvall received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 0.78 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 22.2% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported IK brage at 0. The stored market movement was 4.99 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 0-1, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.7. The actual market outcome was BTTS No. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 13 verifiable pre-match indicators, 9 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.