Match context

The upcoming match between IFK Norrkoping and Ljungskile SK is scheduled for 04.09.2026 17:00 in Superettan. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
IFK Norrkoping are in position 1 with 47 points after 17 matches. The season record is 11 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 29 scored and 10 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWWW. Ljungskile SK are in position 11 with 24 points after 17 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 25 scored and 23 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDLLD.

Recent results

IFK Norrkoping recorded 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWWWWWWLW. The averages are 2.20 goals scored and 0.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Ljungskile SK recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDWLLDWWWD. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, IFK Norrkoping recorded 1 wins, there were 0 draws, and Ljungskile SK recorded 0 wins. The average total was 1 goals per match. Both teams scored in 0% of those matches, while 0% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 10.50; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as IFK Norrkoping to win with 62% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 62.08%, 21.22% and 16.70%. The model momentum difference is 45.37 points in favour of IFK Norrkoping. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.48 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -8.13%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair IFK Norrkoping 0 / Ljungskile SK 0 supports IFK Norrkoping by an average 2.08 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 37 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for IFK Norrkoping at home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 1.83 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.83 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 50.0%, 16.7%, 16.7% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 15 of 21 completed matches (71.4% coverage). The discipline profile for Ljungskile SK away from home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 2.13 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.13 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 62.5%, 37.5%, 12.5% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 19 of 21 completed matches (90.5% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between IFK Norrkoping and Ljungskile SK ended 2-2. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The verified final statistics recorded 16 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 10.5 total corners. The match recorded 16 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 8.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 9.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for IFK Norrkoping at home was based on 6 matches, with averages of 1.83 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.83 total cards per match. In this game, IFK Norrkoping received 1 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.17 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 16.7% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Ljungskile SK away from home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 2.13 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.13 total cards per match. In this game, Ljungskile SK received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.13 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 37.5% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported IFK Norrkoping at 0. The stored market movement was 2.08 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-2, the line settled as a push. The result is neutral and is counted as neither confirmed nor unconfirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed, while 1 settled neutrally. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.