Match context

The upcoming match between Patronato and Quilmes is scheduled for 01.08.2026 18:30 in Primera Nacional. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Patronato are in position 17 with 22 points after 21 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 10 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 13 scored and 18 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDLDD. Quilmes are in position 14 with 24 points after 21 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 18 scored and 17 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLWLW.

Recent results

Patronato recorded 1 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDLDDDDLWD. The averages are 0.70 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 0% finished with over 2.5 goals. Quilmes recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWLWDWDLL. The averages are 0.70 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 8 head-to-head matches, Patronato recorded 3 wins, there were 4 draws, and Quilmes recorded 1 wins. The average total was 2.25 goals per match. Both teams scored in 62.5% of those matches, while 37.5% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Under 2.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%; Both teams to score — 40%; Over 1.5 goals — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Patronato -1 / Quilmes +1 supports Patronato by an average 2.89 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 9 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

What happened in the match

The match between Patronato and Quilmes ended 3-3. The game produced 6 goals in total. The first half contained 4 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 8 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.25 goals, while this match produced 6. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 8 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 62.5%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 8 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 62.5%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Patronato at -1. The stored market movement was 2.89 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 3-3, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 1 aligned with the final result and 7 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.