Match context

The upcoming match between Agropecuario and Ciudad de Bolívar is scheduled for 15.08.2026 18:00 in Primera Nacional. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Agropecuario are in position 16 with 26 points after 23 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 8 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 18 scored and 28 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWDD. Ciudad de Bolívar are in position 7 with 34 points after 23 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 10 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 21 scored and 19 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLWDL.

Recent results

Agropecuario recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWDDLLLDD. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. Ciudad de Bolívar recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWDLWLLDD. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, Agropecuario recorded 0 wins, there were 1 draws, and Ciudad de Bolívar recorded 0 wins. The average total was 0 goals per match. Both teams scored in 0% of those matches, while 0% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 100%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Agropecuario or draw (1X) with 81% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 50.84%, 30.34% and 18.81%. The model momentum difference is 32.03 points in favour of Agropecuario. The input data quality score is 98/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.17 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.01%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Agropecuario at home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 2.60 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.60 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 70.0%, 40.0%, 40.0% and 10.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 18 of 21 completed matches (85.7% coverage). The discipline profile for Ciudad de Bolívar away from home is based on 12 matches. The team averages 2.92 yellow cards, 0.08 red cards and 3.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 58.3%, 33.3% and 8.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 8.3%. Season card data is available for 23 of 23 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Agropecuario and Ciudad de Bolívar ended 1-0. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Agropecuario at home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 2.6 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.6 total cards per match. In this game, Agropecuario received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.4 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 40% of matches, 5+ in 10%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Ciudad de Bolívar away from home was based on 12 matches, with averages of 2.92 yellow cards, 0.08 red cards and 3 total cards per match. In this game, Ciudad de Bolívar received 7 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 8 in total. That was 5 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 58.3% of matches, 5+ in 8.3%, and a red card in 8.3%.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.