Match context

The upcoming match between CA Estudiantes and Chacarita Juniors is scheduled for 15.08.2026 22:00 in Primera Nacional. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
CA Estudiantes are in position 9 with 32 points after 23 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 20 scored and 19 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDLDW. Chacarita Juniors are in position 15 with 26 points after 22 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 18 scored and 23 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLDW.

Recent results

CA Estudiantes recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDLDWDWWDW. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 0.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. Chacarita Juniors recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLDWDLLLW. The averages are 0.70 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, CA Estudiantes recorded 5 wins, there were 4 draws, and Chacarita Juniors recorded 1 wins. The average total was 1.70 goals per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 100%; Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 1.5 goals — 50%; Both teams to score — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as CA Estudiantes or draw (1X) with 81% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 50.84%, 30.34% and 18.81%. The model momentum difference is 32.03 points in favour of CA Estudiantes. The input data quality score is 99/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.17 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.01%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for CA Estudiantes at home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 3.44 yellow cards, 0.33 red cards and 3.78 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 88.9%, 66.7%, 55.6% and 44.4% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 22.2%. Season card data is available for 19 of 23 completed matches (82.6% coverage). The discipline profile for Chacarita Juniors away from home is based on 12 matches. The team averages 2.58 yellow cards, 0.17 red cards and 2.75 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 83.3%, 50.0%, 33.3% and 8.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 16.7%. Season card data is available for 23 of 23 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between CA Estudiantes and Chacarita Juniors ended 2-0. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.7 goals, while this match produced 2. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for CA Estudiantes at home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 3.44 yellow cards, 0.33 red cards and 3.78 total cards per match. In this game, CA Estudiantes received 4 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 4 in total. That was 0.22 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 66.7% of matches, 5+ in 44.4%, and a red card in 22.2%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Chacarita Juniors away from home was based on 12 matches, with averages of 2.58 yellow cards, 0.17 red cards and 2.75 total cards per match. In this game, Chacarita Juniors received 4 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 5 in total. That was 2.25 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 8.3%, and a red card in 16.7%.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 0 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.