Match context

The upcoming match between Atletico Mitre and Club Atlético Güemes is scheduled for 15.08.2026 19:00 in Primera Nacional. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Atletico Mitre are in position 11 with 28 points after 23 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 10 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 22 scored and 27 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWDWL. Club Atlético Güemes are in position 18 with 19 points after 22 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 4 draws and 13 losses. The goals record is 20 scored and 39 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLLL.

Recent results

Atletico Mitre recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWDWLDLLLL. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Club Atlético Güemes recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLLLLWLW. The averages are 0.60 goals scored and 2.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 4 head-to-head matches, Atletico Mitre recorded 1 wins, there were 3 draws, and Club Atlético Güemes recorded 0 wins. The average total was 2 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 25% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Atletico Mitre or draw (1X) with 84% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 54.98%, 28.76% and 16.26%. The model momentum difference is 38.73 points in favour of Atletico Mitre. The input data quality score is 97/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.17 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -2.02%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Atletico Mitre -0.25 / Club Atlético Güemes +0.25 supports Atletico Mitre by an average 3.01 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 10 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Atletico Mitre at home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 2.27 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.27 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 54.5%, 36.4%, 27.3% and 9.1% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 21 of 24 completed matches (87.5% coverage). The discipline profile for Club Atlético Güemes away from home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 2.71 yellow cards, 0.43 red cards and 3.14 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 71.4%, 57.1%, 28.6% and 28.6% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 28.6%. Season card data is available for 18 of 19 completed matches (94.7% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Atletico Mitre and Club Atlético Güemes ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 2 total goals, while this match produced 2. That is an exact match with the historical scoring profile. Across the previous 4 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 75%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Atletico Mitre at home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 2.27 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.27 total cards per match. In this game, Atletico Mitre received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.73 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 36.4% of matches, 5+ in 9.1%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Club Atlético Güemes away from home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 2.71 yellow cards, 0.43 red cards and 3.14 total cards per match. In this game, Club Atlético Güemes received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 1.14 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 57.1% of matches, 5+ in 28.6%, and a red card in 28.6%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Atletico Mitre at -0.25. The stored market movement was 3.01 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-1, the line settled as a half loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.