Match context

The upcoming match between Colon Santa Fe and Patronato is scheduled for 15.08.2026 19:30 in Primera Nacional. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Colon Santa Fe are in position 3 with 39 points after 23 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 9 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 28 scored and 19 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDLLW. Patronato are in position 17 with 24 points after 22 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 11 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 16 scored and 21 conceded. The stored form sequence is DDLDL.

Recent results

Colon Santa Fe recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDLLWWLWDD. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 0.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals. Patronato recorded 0 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DDLDLDDDDL. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Colon Santa Fe recorded 4 wins, there were 2 draws, and Patronato recorded 4 wins. The average total was 1.80 goals per match. Both teams scored in 10% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Colon Santa Fe or draw (1X) with 84% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 55.36%, 28.96% and 15.68%. The model momentum difference is 39.67 points in favour of Colon Santa Fe. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.12 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.57%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Colon Santa Fe at home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 2.17 yellow cards, 0.17 red cards and 2.33 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 66.7%, 33.3%, 33.3% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 16.7%. Season card data is available for 17 of 19 completed matches (89.5% coverage). The discipline profile for Patronato away from home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 2.90 yellow cards, 0.30 red cards and 3.20 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 80.0%, 60.0%, 40.0% and 30.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 30.0%. Season card data is available for 18 of 19 completed matches (94.7% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Colon Santa Fe and Patronato ended 3-0. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.8 goals, while this match produced 3. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 90%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Colon Santa Fe at home was based on 6 matches, with averages of 2.17 yellow cards, 0.17 red cards and 2.33 total cards per match. In this game, Colon Santa Fe received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 2.33 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 33.3% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 16.7%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Patronato away from home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 2.9 yellow cards, 0.3 red cards and 3.2 total cards per match. In this game, Patronato received 1 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 2 in total. That was 1.2 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 60% of matches, 5+ in 30%, and a red card in 30%.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.