Match context

The upcoming match between Tristan Suarez and Almirante Brown is scheduled for 16.08.2026 18:00 in Primera Nacional. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Tristan Suarez are in position 1 with 42 points after 22 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 9 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 21 scored and 12 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWWL. Almirante Brown are in position 4 with 38 points after 23 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 17 scored and 13 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWDDD.

Recent results

Tristan Suarez recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWWLDWDDD. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 0.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 20% of those matches, while 10% finished with over 2.5 goals. Almirante Brown recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWDDDWWWLD. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 0.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 10% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Tristan Suarez recorded 3 wins, there were 6 draws, and Almirante Brown recorded 1 wins. The average total was 2.30 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 2.5 goals — 90%; Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 40%; Over 1.5 goals — 40%; Both teams to score — 20%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Tristan Suarez 0 / Almirante Brown 0 supports Almirante Brown by an average 1.36 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 15 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Tristan Suarez at home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 57.1%, 28.6%, 14.3% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 17 of 18 completed matches (94.4% coverage). The discipline profile for Almirante Brown away from home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 2.10 yellow cards, 0.20 red cards and 2.30 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 60.0%, 30.0%, 20.0% and 20.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 20.0%. Season card data is available for 22 of 23 completed matches (95.7% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Tristan Suarez and Almirante Brown ended 3-1. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.3 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Tristan Suarez at home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, Tristan Suarez received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 28.6% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Almirante Brown away from home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 2.1 yellow cards, 0.2 red cards and 2.3 total cards per match. In this game, Almirante Brown received 2 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.7 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 30% of matches, 5+ in 20%, and a red card in 20%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Almirante Brown at 0. The stored market movement was 1.36 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 3-1, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 1 aligned with the final result and 7 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.