Match context

The upcoming match between Ferro Carril Oeste and All Boys is scheduled for 24.08.2026 23:00 in Primera Nacional. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Ferro Carril Oeste are in position 1 with 49 points after 23 matches. The season record is 13 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 26 scored and 21 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWLLW. All Boys are in position 13 with 27 points after 23 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 11 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 13 scored and 22 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDLDD.

Recent results

Ferro Carril Oeste recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWLLWWWWWW. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. All Boys recorded 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDLDDDDWLD. The averages are 0.70 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 10% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ferro Carril Oeste recorded 1 wins, there were 5 draws, and All Boys recorded 4 wins. The average total was 2.20 goals per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Ferro Carril Oeste or draw (1X) with 85% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 56.69%, 28.34% and 14.97%. The model momentum difference is 41.72 points in favour of Ferro Carril Oeste. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.12 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -4.76%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Ferro Carril Oeste -0.25 / All Boys +0.25 supports Ferro Carril Oeste by an average 1.32 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 7 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 3). Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Ferro Carril Oeste at home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 2.22 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 2.33 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 77.8%, 33.3%, 11.1% and 11.1% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 11.1%. Season card data is available for 20 of 22 completed matches (90.9% coverage). The discipline profile for All Boys away from home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 3.00 yellow cards, 0.27 red cards and 3.27 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 90.9%, 72.7%, 45.5% and 18.2% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 18.2%. Season card data is available for 22 of 25 completed matches (88.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Ferro Carril Oeste and All Boys ended 1-0. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.2 goals, while this match produced 1. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Ferro Carril Oeste at home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 2.22 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 2.33 total cards per match. In this game, Ferro Carril Oeste received 2 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.67 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 33.3% of matches, 5+ in 11.1%, and a red card in 11.1%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for All Boys away from home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 3 yellow cards, 0.27 red cards and 3.27 total cards per match. In this game, All Boys received 4 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 5 in total. That was 1.73 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 72.7% of matches, 5+ in 18.2%, and a red card in 18.2%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Ferro Carril Oeste at -0.25. The stored market movement was 1.32 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 3. The actual market outcome was BTTS No. The Premium signal was not confirmed. The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Odd. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 11 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.