Match context

The upcoming match between San Martin S.J. and Gimnasia Y Tiro is scheduled for 22.08.2026 18:30 in Primera Nacional. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
San Martin S.J. are in position 13 with 29 points after 21 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 22 scored and 22 conceded. The stored form sequence is DDDLW. Gimnasia Y Tiro are in position 6 with 38 points after 23 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 22 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWWWW.

Recent results

San Martin S.J. recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DDDLWLWLLW. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. Gimnasia Y Tiro recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWWWWDWDLW. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 0.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 2 head-to-head matches, San Martin S.J. recorded 1 wins, there were 1 draws, and Gimnasia Y Tiro recorded 0 wins. The average total was 2.50 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 100%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Under 2.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as San Martin S.J. or draw (1X) with 82% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 49.33%, 32.72% and 17.95%. The model momentum difference is 31.39 points in favour of San Martin S.J.. The input data quality score is 98/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.22 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is 0.10%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair San Martin S.J. 0 / Gimnasia Y Tiro 0 supports Gimnasia Y Tiro by an average 1.76 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 24 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for San Martin S.J. at home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 2.44 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.44 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 55.6%, 44.4%, 22.2% and 11.1% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 21 of 21 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Gimnasia Y Tiro away from home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 3.20 yellow cards, 0.10 red cards and 3.30 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 80.0%, 80.0%, 60.0% and 10.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 10.0%. Season card data is available for 20 of 23 completed matches (87.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between San Martin S.J. and Gimnasia Y Tiro ended 3-1. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported San Martin S.J. at 0. The stored market movement was 1.76 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 3-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.