Match context

The upcoming match between Almirante Brown and Deportivo Madryn is scheduled for 30.08.2026 18:00 in Primera Nacional. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Almirante Brown are in position 4 with 41 points after 23 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 17 scored and 13 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWWD. Deportivo Madryn are in position 5 with 40 points after 22 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 9 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 29 scored and 22 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDWWD.

Recent results

Almirante Brown recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWWDDDWWW. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 0.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals. Deportivo Madryn recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWDWWDDLWD. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 4 head-to-head matches, Almirante Brown recorded 0 wins, there were 0 draws, and Deportivo Madryn recorded 4 wins. The average total was 3 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 30%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Almirante Brown -0.75 / Deportivo Madryn +0.75 supports Almirante Brown by an average 8.54 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 21 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Almirante Brown at home is based on 12 matches. The team averages 1.92 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.92 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 66.7%, 16.7%, 8.3% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 24 of 25 completed matches (96.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Deportivo Madryn away from home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 1.90 yellow cards, 0.10 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 70.0%, 20.0%, 10.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 10.0%. Season card data is available for 19 of 23 completed matches (82.6% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Almirante Brown and Deportivo Madryn ended 1-0. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 3 goals, while this match produced 1. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Almirante Brown at home was based on 12 matches, with averages of 1.92 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.92 total cards per match. In this game, Almirante Brown received 2 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 3 in total. That was 1.08 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 16.7% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Deportivo Madryn away from home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 1.9 yellow cards, 0.1 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, Deportivo Madryn received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 20% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 10%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Almirante Brown at -0.75. The stored market movement was 8.54 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-0, the line settled as a half win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.