Match context

The upcoming match between Midland and Nueva Chicago is scheduled for 29.08.2026 19:30 in Primera Nacional. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Midland are in position 5 with 38 points after 22 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 23 scored and 16 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDWDW. Nueva Chicago are in position 14 with 29 points after 22 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 20 scored and 20 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLWL.

Recent results

Midland recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDDWDWWDDL. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals. Nueva Chicago recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLWLDLWDL. The averages are 0.50 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 20% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, Midland recorded 0 wins, there were 1 draws, and Nueva Chicago recorded 0 wins. The average total was 4 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 100%; Under 2.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 1.5 goals — 50%; Both teams to score — 30%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Midland or draw (1X) with 83% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 53.12%, 29.98% and 16.90%. The model momentum difference is 36.22 points in favour of Midland. The input data quality score is 99/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.14 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.27%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Midland -0.5 / Nueva Chicago +0.5 supports Midland by an average 1.97 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (Bet365) with up to 3 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Midland at home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 70.0%, 30.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 20 of 22 completed matches (90.9% coverage). The discipline profile for Nueva Chicago away from home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 2.90 yellow cards, 0.10 red cards and 3.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 80.0%, 60.0%, 30.0% and 20.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 10.0%. Season card data is available for 22 of 23 completed matches (95.7% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Midland and Nueva Chicago ended 2-0. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Midland at home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, Midland received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 30% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Nueva Chicago away from home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 2.9 yellow cards, 0.1 red cards and 3 total cards per match. In this game, Nueva Chicago received 6 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 6 in total. That was 3 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 60% of matches, 5+ in 20%, and a red card in 10%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Midland at -0.5. The stored market movement was 1.97 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 2-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 0 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.