Match context

The upcoming match between Almagro and Deportivo Maipu is scheduled for 12.09.2026 18:30 in Primera Nacional. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Almagro are in position 12 with 34 points after 23 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 20 scored and 26 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWDLD. Deportivo Maipu are in position 8 with 39 points after 23 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 31 scored and 24 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLWWL.

Recent results

Almagro recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWDLDLDWLW. The averages are 0.80 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals. Deportivo Maipu recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLWWLWLDWW. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 4 head-to-head matches, Almagro recorded 1 wins, there were 0 draws, and Deportivo Maipu recorded 3 wins. The average total was 1.75 goals per match. Both teams scored in 25% of those matches, while 25% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Under 2.5 goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%; Both teams to score — 30%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Almagro -0.75 / Deportivo Maipu +0.75 supports Almagro by an average 3.09 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 12 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Almagro at home is based on 14 matches. The team averages 2.57 yellow cards, 0.21 red cards and 2.79 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 85.7%, 50.0%, 35.7% and 7.1% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 21.4%. Season card data is available for 27 of 28 completed matches (96.4% coverage). The discipline profile for Deportivo Maipu away from home is based on 12 matches. The team averages 2.42 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards and 2.67 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 75.0%, 58.3%, 16.7% and 8.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 16.7%. Season card data is available for 23 of 26 completed matches (88.5% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Almagro and Deportivo Maipu ended 2-2. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 4 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.75 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 4 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 75%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 4 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 75%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Almagro at home was based on 14 matches, with averages of 2.57 yellow cards, 0.21 red cards and 2.79 total cards per match. In this game, Almagro received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.79 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 7.1%, and a red card in 21.4%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Deportivo Maipu away from home was based on 12 matches, with averages of 2.42 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards and 2.67 total cards per match. In this game, Deportivo Maipu received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 2.67 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 58.3% of matches, 5+ in 8.3%, and a red card in 16.7%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Almagro at -0.75. The stored market movement was 3.09 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-2, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 1 aligned with the final result and 8 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.