Match context

The upcoming match between CA Estudiantes and Acassuso is scheduled for 13.09.2026 18:30 in Primera Nacional. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
CA Estudiantes are in position 9 with 36 points after 28 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 9 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 25 scored and 25 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDLWL. Acassuso are in position 18 with 23 points after 28 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 8 draws and 15 losses. The goals record is 19 scored and 33 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDLLD.

Recent results

CA Estudiantes recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDLWLDLDWD. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. Acassuso recorded 0 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDLLDLDDLD. The averages are 0.70 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, CA Estudiantes recorded 6 wins, there were 4 draws, and Acassuso recorded 0 wins. The average total was 1.90 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 50%; Both teams to score — 40%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 30%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as CA Estudiantes or draw (1X) with 85% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 57.14%, 28.05% and 14.81%. The model momentum difference is 42.33 points in favour of CA Estudiantes. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.11 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.44%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair CA Estudiantes -0.25 / Acassuso +0.25 supports CA Estudiantes by an average 2.22 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 9 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for CA Estudiantes at home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 3.27 yellow cards, 0.27 red cards and 3.55 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 81.8%, 63.6%, 54.5% and 36.4% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 18.2%. Season card data is available for 22 of 28 completed matches (78.6% coverage). The discipline profile for Acassuso away from home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 3.00 yellow cards, 0.09 red cards and 3.09 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 81.8%, 63.6%, 27.3% and 27.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 9.1%. Season card data is available for 23 of 28 completed matches (82.1% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between CA Estudiantes and Acassuso ended 1-0. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.9 goals, while this match produced 1. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for CA Estudiantes at home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 3.27 yellow cards, 0.27 red cards and 3.55 total cards per match. In this game, CA Estudiantes received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.55 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 63.6% of matches, 5+ in 36.4%, and a red card in 18.2%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Acassuso away from home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 3 yellow cards, 0.09 red cards and 3.09 total cards per match. In this game, Acassuso received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 2.09 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 63.6% of matches, 5+ in 27.3%, and a red card in 9.1%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported CA Estudiantes at -0.25. The stored market movement was 2.22 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 8 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.