Match context

The upcoming match between San Martin Tucuman and Agropecuario is scheduled for 13.09.2026 21:30 in Primera Nacional. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
San Martin Tucuman are in position 11 with 36 points after 28 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 12 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 27 scored and 26 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDWDD. Agropecuario are in position 14 with 33 points after 28 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 9 draws and 11 losses. The goals record is 25 scored and 31 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDLWW.

Recent results

San Martin Tucuman recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDWDDLLDWW. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Agropecuario recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDLWWLWDDL. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, San Martin Tucuman recorded 5 wins, there were 4 draws, and Agropecuario recorded 1 wins. The average total was 1.70 goals per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as San Martin Tucuman or draw (1X) with 81% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 50.34%, 31.04% and 18.62%. The model momentum difference is 31.71 points in favour of San Martin Tucuman. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.18 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -3.98%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair San Martin Tucuman -1 / Agropecuario +1 supports Agropecuario by an average 1.25 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 7 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for San Martin Tucuman at home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 3.36 yellow cards, 0.27 red cards and 3.64 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 63.6%, 45.5% and 18.2% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 27.3%. Season card data is available for 25 of 28 completed matches (89.3% coverage). The discipline profile for Agropecuario away from home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 2.89 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 3.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 88.9%, 77.8%, 22.2% and 11.1% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 11.1%. Season card data is available for 21 of 27 completed matches (77.8% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between San Martin Tucuman and Agropecuario ended 3-0. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.7 goals, while this match produced 3. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for San Martin Tucuman at home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 3.36 yellow cards, 0.27 red cards and 3.64 total cards per match. In this game, San Martin Tucuman received 4 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 4 in total. That was 0.36 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 63.6% of matches, 5+ in 18.2%, and a red card in 27.3%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Agropecuario away from home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 2.89 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 3 total cards per match. In this game, Agropecuario received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 2 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 77.8% of matches, 5+ in 11.1%, and a red card in 11.1%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Agropecuario at +1. The stored market movement was 1.25 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 3-0, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.