Match context

The upcoming match between Arsenal Sarandi and Brown DE Adrogue is scheduled for 31.07.2026 18:00 in Primera B Metropolitana. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Arsenal Sarandi are in position 5 with 10 points after 27 matches. The season record is 14 wins, 9 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 37 scored and 19 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWWD. Brown DE Adrogue are in position 13 with 5 points after 27 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 9 draws and 12 losses. The goals record is 17 scored and 29 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLDDW.

Recent results

Arsenal Sarandi recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWLWWDWWLL. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Brown DE Adrogue recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLDDWLDLW. The averages are 0.80 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arsenal Sarandi recorded 2 wins, there were 0 draws, and Brown DE Adrogue recorded 0 wins. The average total was 3.50 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Under 2.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 20%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 20%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Arsenal Sarandi or draw (1X) with 83% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 55.10%, 27.90% and 17.00%. The model momentum difference is 38.10 points in favour of Arsenal Sarandi. The input data quality score is 92/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.11 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -7.87%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Arsenal Sarandi -0.5 / Brown DE Adrogue +0.5 supports Brown DE Adrogue by an average 4.28 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (Bet365) with up to 4 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2).

What happened in the match

The match between Arsenal Sarandi and Brown DE Adrogue ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Brown DE Adrogue at +0.5. The stored market movement was 4.28 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 1-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Even. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.