Match context

The upcoming match between Argentino de Merlo and Ituzaingó is scheduled for 15.08.2026 18:00 in Primera B Metropolitana. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Argentino de Merlo are in position 13 with 35 points after 28 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 8 draws and 11 losses. The goals record is 27 scored and 28 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLDLW. Ituzaingó are in position 22 with 12 points after 28 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 9 draws and 18 losses. The goals record is 18 scored and 45 conceded. The stored form sequence is DDLLD.

Recent results

Argentino de Merlo recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLDLWDWWD. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Ituzaingó recorded 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDDLLDLLDL. The averages are 0.60 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Merlo recorded 4 wins, there were 4 draws, and Ituzaingó recorded 2 wins. The average total was 1.90 goals per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 1.5 goals — 50%; Both teams to score — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Argentino de Merlo or draw (1X) with 82% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 54.18%, 27.94% and 17.88%. The model momentum difference is 36.30 points in favour of Argentino de Merlo. The input data quality score is 94/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.11 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -8.85%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Argentino de Merlo 0 / Ituzaingó 0 supports Argentino de Merlo by an average 1.13 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 4 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Argentino de Merlo at home is based on 12 matches. The team averages 2.75 yellow cards, 0.17 red cards and 2.92 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 83.3%, 83.3%, 25.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 16.7%. Season card data is available for 25 of 27 completed matches (92.6% coverage). The discipline profile for Ituzaingó away from home is based on 13 matches. The team averages 3.15 yellow cards, 0.62 red cards and 3.77 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 69.2%, 53.8% and 30.8% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 53.8%. Season card data is available for 23 of 25 completed matches (92.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Argentino de Merlo and Ituzaingó ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.9 goals, while this match produced 2. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Argentino de Merlo at home was based on 12 matches, with averages of 2.75 yellow cards, 0.17 red cards and 2.92 total cards per match. In this game, Argentino de Merlo received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.92 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 83.3% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 16.7%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Ituzaingó away from home was based on 13 matches, with averages of 3.15 yellow cards, 0.62 red cards and 3.77 total cards per match. In this game, Ituzaingó received 1 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 2 in total. That was 1.77 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 69.2% of matches, 5+ in 30.8%, and a red card in 53.8%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Argentino de Merlo at 0. The stored market movement was 1.13 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-1, the line settled as a push. The result is neutral and is counted as neither confirmed nor unconfirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed, while 1 settled neutrally. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.